Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
58%
The model projects 2.13 goals for Vanuatu and 1.04 for New Caledonia, giving 62% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Vanuatu
Above average
New Caledonia
Average
2
Vanuatu
2
Draws
5
New Caledonia