Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
58%
The model makes Vanuatu the favourite at 62%, with a 22% draw and 17% New Caledonia win. It projects 2.13 goals for Vanuatu and 1.04 for New Caledonia, putting over 2.5 goals at 61%. New Caledonia's rating rests on only 5 matches and is pulled toward average, so treat the gap with care.
Vanuatu
Above average
New Caledonia
Average
2
Vanuatu
2
Draws
5
New Caledonia