Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
47%
The model projects 1.32 goals for Georgia and 0.98 for Lithuania, giving 43% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Georgia
Above average
Lithuania
Average
5
Georgia
1
Draws
3
Lithuania