Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
The model projects 1.53 goals for Tunisia and 1.52 for Sweden, giving 37% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Tunisia
Average
Sweden
Above average
1
Tunisia
0
Draws
3
Sweden