Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5
64%
Both score
50%
The model projects 2.54 goals for Kenya and 0.76 for Seychelles, giving 75% for the home win, 16% for the draw and 9% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Kenya
Above average
Seychelles
Average
5
Kenya
1
Draws
0
Seychelles