Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
57%
The model makes Armenia the most likely winner at 51%, with a draw at 25% and Moldova at 24%. Its strongest read is Over 1.5 goals at 80%, well above the 72% norm for this competition. These are model probabilities, not guarantees.
Armenia
Average
Moldova
Average
0
Armenia
4
Draws
1
Moldova