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USA vs Peru prediction, CONCACAF Gold Cup

CONCACAF Gold CupFull time

USA

1-0

Wed, 16 Feb

Peru

Model's readMiami
1 56%X 24%2 20%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.8%

xG

1.9 – 1.1

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

57%

Form

Full stats →
USAWWWWL
PeruLLDLL

Match analysis

Model generated

USA favoured at 56%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.90 goals for USA and 1.07 for Peru, giving 56% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.90 - 1.07
  • Clean sheet chance: USA 34%, Peru 15%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

USA v Peru

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
USA55.9%
Draw23.9%
Peru20.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

USA

Above average

4.8

Peru

Average

USALast 10 gamesPeru
2.10Points per game0.80
2.5Goals scored per game1.0
1.4Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score30%

Recent results

USAWWWWL
  • 7 OctHCanada1-0
  • 4 OctHMexico3-0
  • 30 SeptHChile4-2
  • 26 SeptHPeru4-1
  • 6 JulHBelgium1-4
  • 1 JulHBosnia-Herzegovina2-0
PeruLLDLL
  • 6 OctAColombia0-2
  • 3 OctACanada0-2
  • 30 SeptAMexico1-1
  • 26 SeptAUSA1-4
  • 8 JunHSpain1-3
  • 5 JunAHaiti2-1

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

3

USA

2

Draws

1

Peru

  • 26 Sept 26USA 4-1 Peru
  • 16 Oct 18USA 1-1 Peru
  • 4 Sept 15USA 2-1 Peru
  • 16 Feb 00USA 1-0 Peru
  • 16 Oct 96Peru 4-1 USA
Every meeting between these two →