Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
46%
The model projects 2.05 goals for Morocco and 0.74 for Uganda, giving 67% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Morocco
Above average
Uganda
Above average
1
Morocco
0
Draws
1
Uganda