Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
60%
The model projects 1.52 goals for Japan and 1.43 for Brazil, giving 39% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Japan
Above average
Brazil
Above average
1
Japan
0
Draws
9
Brazil