Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
36%
Both score
40%
The model leans Colombia: 54% to win, against 17% for Peru and 29% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.44 for Colombia and 0.71 for Peru, and 54% is well above the 25% norm for away wins here. A lean, not a guarantee.
Peru
Average
Colombia
Above average
2
Peru
3
Draws
5
Colombia