Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
46%
The model projects 2.11 goals for Canada and 0.73 for Guatemala, giving 69% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3413 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Canada
Above average
Guatemala
Average
7
Canada
2
Draws
1
Guatemala