Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
47%
The model projects 1.25 goals for Lithuania and 1.02 for Georgia, giving 40% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Lithuania
Average
Georgia
Above average
3
Lithuania
1
Draws
5
Georgia