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Gambia vs Senegal prediction, Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Africa Cup of Nations QualifyingFull time

Gambia

0-0

Sun, 30 Mar

Senegal

Model's readBakau
1 29%X 24%2 48%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

71.3%

xG

1.4 – 1.9

Over 2.5

64%

Both score

65%

Form

Full stats →
GambiaLLDWL
SenegalWLWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Senegal favoured at 48%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.42 goals for Gambia and 1.87 for Senegal, giving 29% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 48% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.42 - 1.87
  • Clean sheet chance: Gambia 15%, Senegal 24%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Gambia v Senegal

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Gambia28.7%
Draw23.7%
Senegal47.6%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.2

Gambia

Average

6.0

Senegal

Above average

GambiaLast 10 gamesSenegal
1.40Points per game1.30
2.2Goals scored per game1.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.6
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

GambiaLLDWL
  • 29 MayAIran1-3
  • 31 MarASenegal1-3
  • 18 NovAKuwait2-2
  • 14 OctASeychelles7-0
  • 10 OctHGabon3-4
  • 9 SeptHBurundi2-0
SenegalWLWLL
  • 4 OctAComoros1-0
  • 1 JulABelgium2-3
  • 26 JunHIraq5-0
  • 22 JunANorway2-3
  • 16 JunAFrance1-3
  • 9 JunASaudi Arabia0-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Gambia

5

Draws

5

Senegal

  • 31 Mar 26Senegal 3-1 Gambia
  • 15 Jan 24Senegal 3-0 Gambia
  • 11 Oct 08Senegal 1-1 Gambia
  • 8 Jun 08Gambia 0-0 Senegal
  • 7 Jun 03Senegal 3-1 Gambia
Every meeting between these two →