Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
50%
The model projects 1.43 goals for Rwanda and 1.04 for Kenya, giving 45% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Rwanda
Above average
Kenya
Above average
0
Rwanda
6
Draws
3
Kenya