Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
42%
The model projects 1.86 goals for Colombia and 0.67 for Peru, giving 65% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Colombia
Above average
Peru
Average
5
Colombia
3
Draws
2
Peru