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Morocco vs Zambia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAFFull time

Morocco

1-0

Sun, 10 Oct

Zambia

Model's readCasablanca
1 79%X 15%2 6%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home Win

79.3%

xG

2.5 – 0.6

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

39%

Form

Full stats →
MoroccoLWDWW
ZambiaLLLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Morocco favoured at 79%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.49 goals for Morocco and 0.55 for Zambia, giving 79% for the home win, 15% for the draw and 6% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 15%
  • Expected goals: 2.49 - 0.55
  • Clean sheet chance: Morocco 58%, Zambia 8%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Morocco v Zambia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Morocco79.3%
Draw14.8%
Zambia5.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.2

Morocco

Above average

4.9

Zambia

Average

MoroccoLast 10 gamesZambia
2.10Points per game0.50
2.2Goals scored per game0.5
0.8Goals conceded per game2.1
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score60%

Recent results

MoroccoLWDWW
  • 9 JulAFrance0-2
  • 4 JulACanada3-0
  • 29 JunANetherlands1-1
  • 24 JunHHaiti4-2
  • 19 JunAScotland1-0
  • 13 JunABrazil1-1
ZambiaLLLDD
  • 31 MarAArgentina0-5
  • 29 DecHMorocco0-3
  • 29 DecAMorocco0-3
  • 26 DecHComoros0-0
  • 22 DecAMali1-1
  • 16 DecADR Congo0-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

8

Morocco

1

Draws

1

Zambia

  • 29 Dec 25Zambia 0-3 Morocco
  • 29 Dec 25Morocco 3-0 Zambia
  • 8 Sept 25Zambia 0-2 Morocco
  • 7 Jun 24Morocco 2-1 Zambia
  • 24 Jan 24Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Every meeting between these two →