Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
45%
The model favours Colombia at 61% for a home win, with 24% for a draw and 14% for Peru. Expected goals are 1.79 for Colombia and 0.75 for Peru. Over 2.5 goals sits at 47%, so the goals markets look close to a coin flip.
Colombia
Above average
Peru
Average
5
Colombia
3
Draws
2
Peru