Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
44%
The model projects 1.93 goals for Lithuania and 0.70 for Liechtenstein, giving 66% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Lithuania
Average
Liechtenstein
Average
5
Lithuania
1
Draws
1
Liechtenstein