Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
0.9 – 1.0
Over 2.5
29%
Both score
38%
The model projects 0.88 goals for Paraguay and 0.97 for Colombia, giving 30% for the home win, 34% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Paraguay
Above average
Colombia
Above average
2
Paraguay
3
Draws
5
Colombia