Finland vs Germany prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
70.3%
xG
1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
FinlandLWDWL
GermanyDWLDDMatch analysis
EnhancedAway or Draw (X2) is the strongest read at 70%
The model's best pick is Away or Draw at 70%, well above the 54% norm for this competition, and that gap matters more than the raw figure. Germany are running colder than their season, at 1.0 points a game over the last six against 2.1 across the sample. Recency weighting already accounts for part of that, so this is a lean, not a guarantee.
Match result
1X2Finland29.7%
Draw27.1%
Germany43.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Finland
Average
5.6
Germany
Above average
FinlandLast 10 gamesGermany1.40Points per game1.80
1.7Goals scored per game2.0
1.0Goals conceded per game0.8
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 9 meetings0
Finland
5
Draws
4
Germany
- 31 May 26Germany 4-0 Finland
- 31 Aug 16Germany 2-0 Finland
- 14 Oct 09Germany 1-1 Finland
- 10 Sept 08Finland 3-3 Germany
- 6 Oct 01Germany 0-0 Finland