Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
54%
The model makes Denmark favourites at 55%, and Home or Draw (1X) is its strongest read at 80%, against a 72% norm in this competition. Expected goals are 1.80 for Denmark and 1.01 for Wales. Goals markets sit close to a coin flip, so there is little edge there.
Denmark
Above average
Wales
Average
7
Denmark
0
Draws
2
Wales