Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
The model projects 1.64 goals for Mozambique and 1.41 for Gabon, giving 42% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Mozambique
Average
Gabon
Average
3
Mozambique
1
Draws
3
Gabon