Ukraine vs Poland prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.9%
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →
UkraineLLDWL
PolandLWLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedUkraine favoured at 37%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.36 goals for Ukraine and 1.32 for Poland, giving 37% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.36 - 1.32
- Clean sheet chance: Ukraine 27%, Poland 26%
Match result
1X2Ukraine36.8%
Draw28.1%
Poland35.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Ukraine
Average
5.0
Poland
Average
UkraineLast 10 gamesPoland1.30Points per game1.20
0.9Goals scored per game1.7
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
30%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Ukraine
2
Draws
4
Poland
- 31 May 26Poland 0-2 Ukraine
- 7 Jun 24Poland 3-1 Ukraine
- 11 Nov 20Poland 2-0 Ukraine
- 21 Jun 16Ukraine 0-1 Poland
- 11 Oct 13Ukraine 1-0 Poland