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Poland vs Ukraine prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA

World Cup Qualifying UEFAFull time

Poland

1-1

Sat, 6 Oct

Ukraine

Model's readChorzów
1 51%X 26%2 23%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.1%

xG

1.7 – 1.1

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →
PolandLWLDD
UkraineLLDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Poland favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.68 goals for Poland and 1.06 for Ukraine, giving 51% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.68 - 1.06
  • Clean sheet chance: Poland 35%, Ukraine 19%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Poland v Ukraine

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Poland50.9%
Draw26.3%
Ukraine22.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Poland

Average

5.2

Ukraine

Average

PolandLast 10 gamesUkraine
1.20Points per game1.30
1.7Goals scored per game0.9
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets50%
30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

PolandLWLDD
  • 5 OctABosnia-Herzegovina0-1
  • 2 OctHRomania6-0
  • 28 SeptASweden1-3
  • 25 SeptHBosnia-Herzegovina0-0
  • 3 JunHNigeria2-2
  • 31 MayHUkraine0-2
UkraineLLDWL
  • 5 OctHHungary1-2
  • 2 OctHNN.Ireland0-3
  • 28 SeptAGeorgia0-0
  • 25 SeptAHungary1-0
  • 7 JunADenmark1-2
  • 31 MayAPoland2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

4

Poland

2

Draws

4

Ukraine

  • 31 May 26Poland 0-2 Ukraine
  • 7 Jun 24Poland 3-1 Ukraine
  • 11 Nov 20Poland 2-0 Ukraine
  • 21 Jun 16Ukraine 0-1 Poland
  • 11 Oct 13Ukraine 1-0 Poland
Every meeting between these two →