Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
53%
The model projects 2.31 goals for Slovakia and 0.87 for Moldova, giving 69% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Slovakia
Above average
Moldova
Average
4
Slovakia
0
Draws
0
Moldova