Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
60%
The model's strongest read is over 1.5 goals at 80%, well above the 72% norm for this competition. That gap is what makes it stand out, not the raw figure alone. Nigeria are slight favourites at 38% to Poland's 36%, with a draw at 27%.
Poland
Average
Nigeria
Above average
0
Poland
1
Draws
1
Nigeria