Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
59%
Kazakhstan are the slight favourite at 37%, with Moldova at 36% and a draw at 27%. The model's expected goals are 1.41 for Moldova and 1.44 for Kazakhstan. The clearest edge is Over 1.5 Goals at 79%, against a 72% norm for this competition.
Moldova
Average
Kazakhstan
Average
4
Moldova
1
Draws
3
Kazakhstan