Japan vs Brazil prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
70.2%
xG
1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
JapanWWLDW
BrazilWWDLWMatch analysis
Model generatedBrazil favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.19 goals for Japan and 1.47 for Brazil, giving 30% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.19 - 1.47
- Clean sheet chance: Japan 23%, Brazil 30%
Match result
1X2Japan29.8%
Draw27.7%
Brazil42.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.4
Japan
Above average
6.7
Brazil
Above average
JapanLast 10 gamesBrazil2.30Points per game2.30
1.9Goals scored per game2.7
0.7Goals conceded per game1.0
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored70%
50%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Japan
0
Draws
9
Brazil
- 29 Jun 26Brazil 2-1 Japan
- 14 Oct 25Japan 3-2 Brazil
- 6 Jun 22Japan 0-1 Brazil
- 10 Nov 17Japan 1-3 Brazil
- 14 Oct 14Japan 0-4 Brazil