Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
54%
The model projects 2.46 goals for Belgium and 0.87 for Tunisia, giving 71% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Belgium
Above average
Tunisia
Average
3
Belgium
1
Draws
1
Tunisia