Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
47%
The model favours Japan, with a 54% chance of a home win against 19% for Venezuela and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.61 for Japan and 0.87 for Venezuela. Japan's defence rates 20th best of 219 sides, against Venezuela's 90th weakest attack.
Japan
Above average
Venezuela
Above average
1
Japan
3
Draws
1
Venezuela