Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
xG
1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
35%
Both score
43%
Lean under 2.5 goals: the model gives it 65%, well above the 52% norm in this competition. Paraguay are slight favourites at 40% to Colombia's 28%, but a draw is 32%, so expect a tight game. Expected goals are 1.15 for Paraguay and 0.93 for Colombia.
Paraguay
Above average
Colombia
Above average
2
Paraguay
3
Draws
5
Colombia