Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
The model projects 1.38 goals for Gibraltar and 1.09 for Malta, giving 43% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Gibraltar
Above average
Malta
Average
1
Gibraltar
1
Draws
2
Malta