Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
50%
The model projects 2.14 goals for Brazil and 0.82 for Haiti, giving 67% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Brazil
Above average
Haiti
Average
3
Brazil
0
Draws
0
Haiti