Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
35%
Both score
42%
The model's strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals at 65%, against a 52% norm for this competition. Colombia are projected at 1.26 goals and Paraguay at 0.84, a total of 2.11. Colombia edge the home win at 45%, but this is a tight game.
Colombia
Above average
Paraguay
Above average
5
Colombia
3
Draws
2
Paraguay