Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
54%
The model favours Denmark at home, with a 55% chance of a win against 20% for Wales and 25% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.81 for Denmark and 1.01 for Wales. Over 2.5 and both teams to score are each 54%, so the goals markets offer little edge.
Denmark
Above average
Wales
Average
7
Denmark
0
Draws
2
Wales