Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
54%
The model projects 1.75 goals for Netherlands and 1.04 for Greece, giving 53% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Netherlands
Above average
Greece
Above average
5
Netherlands
1
Draws
1
Greece