Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
The model projects 1.38 goals for Ukraine and 1.30 for Poland, giving 38% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Ukraine
Average
Poland
Average
4
Ukraine
2
Draws
4
Poland