Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.2 – 1.9
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
59%
The model projects 1.16 goals for Tunisia and 1.91 for Belgium, giving 22% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 54% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Tunisia
Average
Belgium
Above average
1
Tunisia
1
Draws
3
Belgium