Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
60%
The model projects 1.83 goals for Gabon and 1.21 for Mozambique, giving 51% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Gabon
Average
Mozambique
Average
3
Gabon
1
Draws
3
Mozambique