Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
xG
1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
35%
Both score
43%
The model's strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals at 65%, well above the 52% norm in this competition. Paraguay are slight favourites at 40% to win, with a draw at 32%, so this looks close on paper. Expected goals of 1.15 and 0.93 point to a tight game.
Paraguay
Above average
Colombia
Above average
2
Paraguay
3
Draws
5
Colombia