Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
xG
1.0 – 0.9
Over 2.5
29%
Both score
38%
The model makes Under 2.5 goals its strongest pick at 71%, against a 52% norm in this competition. Expected goals are 0.97 for Colombia and 0.88 for Paraguay, so a low-scoring game is the projection. Colombia are the slight favourites at 35% to win, but the draw is close at 34%.
Colombia
Above average
Paraguay
Above average
5
Colombia
3
Draws
2
Paraguay