
Liverpool

Manchester City
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
60%
The model's strongest pick is Away or Draw at 68%, against a 58% norm for this competition. That gap is the key signal. Manchester City are rated 2nd of 27 sides, and the model gives them 41% to win outright, so the X2 covers their win and a draw.
Liverpool
Above average
Manchester City
Elite
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 6 | +11 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5▲ | 6 | 0 | 10 | |
| 6▼ | 5 | +4 | 9 | |
| 7▼ | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8▼ | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 9▼ | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 10▼ | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 11 | 6 | -4 | 7 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 13 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 | 6 | -4 | 5 | |
| 15▲ | 6 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16▼ | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 17▲ | 6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 18▼ | 6 | -4 | 3 | |
| 19▼ | 5 | -9 | 3 | |
| 20 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
3
Liverpool
3
Draws
4
Manchester City