Cardiff vs Watford prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 36Full time
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Model's readCardiff City Stadium
1 47%X 26%2 27%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.3%
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →CardiffLWLDLWatfordLLLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedCardiff favoured at 47%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.63 goals for Cardiff and 1.19 for Watford, giving 47% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.63 - 1.19
- Clean sheet chance: Cardiff 30%, Watford 20%
Match result
1X2Cardiff46.6%
Draw26.3%
Watford27.0%
Model rating
All ratings →4.2
Cardiff
Average
4.4
Watford
Average
CardiffLast 10 gamesWatford0.70Points per game0.80
1.2Goals scored per game0.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.9
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored60%
0%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Cardiff
2
Draws
4
Watford
- 14 Jan 25Cardiff 1-1 Watford
- 29 Dec 24Watford 1-2 Cardiff
- 3 Feb 24Watford 0-1 Cardiff
- 7 Oct 23Cardiff 1-1 Watford
- 19 Apr 23Watford 1-3 Cardiff