Arsenal vs Leeds United Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.7%

xG

1.7 – 0.8

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →

ArsenalWLWWW

Leeds UnitedLDWLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Arsenal favoured at 58%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.71 goals for Arsenal and 0.80 for Leeds United, giving 58% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.71 - 0.80
Clean sheet chance: Arsenal 45%, Leeds United 18%

Match result

1X2

Arsenal58.0%

Draw25.9%

Leeds United16.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.3

Arsenal

Strong

5.8

Leeds United

Above average

ArsenalLast 10 games

Leeds United

2.50Points per game1.50

1.8Goals scored per game1.4

0.9Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

50%Both teams scored50%

40%Clean sheets40%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

ArsenalWLWWW

Leeds UnitedLDWLD

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	6	+13	13
4▲	Hull City51′ 1-0	6	+3	11
5▼	Brentford	6	+6	10
6▼	Chelsea	6	+2	10
7▼	Leeds United	6	+3	9
8▼	Liverpool	5	+3	9
9▼	Everton51′ 0-1	6	+2	9
10▼	Ipswich Town	6	-3	9
11	Newcastle United	5	0	8
12▲	Crystal Palace51′ 2-1	6	-4	7
13▼	Manchester United	6	0	6
14▼	Nottingham Forest51′ 1-2	6	-2	5
15▼	Aston Villa	6	-5	5
16	Sunderland	6	-6	4
17	Bournemouth	6	-6	3
18	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3
19	Coventry City	5	-9	3
20	Fulham	6	-4	2