Utrecht vs Willem II Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home Win

64.4%

xG

2.3 – 1.1

Over 2.5

66%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →

UtrechtWLWDL

Willem IILLLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Utrecht favoured at 64%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.32 goals for Utrecht and 1.06 for Willem II, giving 64% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.32 - 1.06
Clean sheet chance: Utrecht 35%, Willem II 10%

Match result

1X2

Utrecht64.4%

Draw20.8%

Willem II14.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.7

Utrecht

Above average

2.8

Willem II

Weak

UtrechtLast 10 games

Willem II

1.20Points per game0.60

1.7Goals scored per game0.9

2.7Goals conceded per game2.4

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

80%Both teams scored70%

10%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

UtrechtWLWDL

Willem IILLLDL

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	+20	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	+10	19
4	Twente	8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	+12	15
6▲	Groningen70′ 4-1	8	+5	14
7▼	Fortuna Sittard	8	-1	14
8▼	Excelsior70′ 1-4	8	+3	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	8	+2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	-1	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	-7	6
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2