Ajax vs Willem II prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick Strong
Home Win
76.9%
xG
2.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
69%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
AjaxDDWWL
Willem IILLDLDMatch analysis
EnhancedAjax favoured at home, model gives 77%
The model makes Ajax clear favourites at 77%, well above the 44% norm for home wins in this competition, and that gap is the key signal. Expected goals are 2.74 for Ajax and 0.81 for Willem II. No result is guaranteed: the draw is 15% and the away win 8%.
Match result
1X2Ajax76.9%
Draw15.5%
Willem II7.7%
Model rating
All ratings →7.4
Ajax
Strong
2.8
Willem II
Weak
AjaxLast 10 gamesWillem II1.90Points per game0.60
3.1Goals scored per game0.9
1.7Goals conceded per game2.4
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
90%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings8
Ajax
1
Draws
1
Willem II
- 15 Sept 26Ajax 5-1 Willem II
- 13 Apr 25Willem II 1-2 Ajax
- 27 Oct 24Ajax 1-0 Willem II
- 19 Feb 22Willem II 0-1 Ajax
- 2 Dec 21Ajax 5-0 Willem II