Genoa vs Parma prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 9Full time
Genoa
1-2
Parma
Model's readStadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
1 42%X 28%2 30%
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
62.8%
xG
1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →GenoaWLWDLParmaLWLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedGenoa favoured at 42%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.21 goals for Genoa and 0.97 for Parma, giving 42% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.21 - 0.97
- Clean sheet chance: Genoa 38%, Parma 30%
Match result
1X2Genoa42.2%
Draw28.2%
Parma29.6%
Model rating
All ratings →4.2
Genoa
Average
4.5
Parma
Average
GenoaLast 10 gamesParma1.00Points per game1.00
1.1Goals scored per game0.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored30%
10%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milan | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4▲ |  AC Milan33′ 0-0 | 6 | +6 | 12 |
| 5▼ |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Napoli | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo33′ 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Parma | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Genoa
3
Draws
4
Parma
- 20 Sept 26Parma 2-1 Genoa
- 18 Jan 26Parma 0-0 Genoa
- 19 Oct 25Genoa 0-0 Parma
- 12 Jan 25Genoa 1-0 Parma
- 4 Nov 24Parma 0-1 Genoa