Roma vs Inter Milan prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
79.1%
xG
1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
RomaDWDWW
Inter MilanWDWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedInter Milan favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.44 goals for Roma and 1.52 for Inter Milan, giving 36% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.44 - 1.52
- Clean sheet chance: Roma 22%, Inter Milan 24%
Match result
1X2Roma36.5%
Draw23.8%
Inter Milan39.7%
Model rating
All ratings →8.1
Roma
Strong
8.9
Inter Milan
Elite
RomaLast 10 gamesInter Milan2.60Points per game2.10
2.6Goals scored per game2.5
0.6Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored70%
60%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma42′ 0-0 | 6 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6▲ |  Como42′ 0-0 | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 7▼ |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 8▼ |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Roma
1
Draws
7
Inter Milan
- 19 Sept 26Roma 2-2 Inter Milan
- 5 Apr 26Inter Milan 5-2 Roma
- 18 Oct 25Roma 0-1 Inter Milan
- 27 Apr 25Inter Milan 0-1 Roma
- 20 Oct 24Roma 0-1 Inter Milan