Parma vs Genoa prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
63.1%
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
ParmaLWLDL
GenoaWLWDLMatch analysis
Model generatedGenoa favoured at 36%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.08 goals for Parma and 1.09 for Genoa, giving 35% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.08 - 1.09
- Clean sheet chance: Parma 34%, Genoa 34%
Match result
1X2Parma35.4%
Draw28.6%
Genoa36.0%
Model rating
All ratings →4.5
Parma
Average
4.2
Genoa
Average
ParmaLast 10 gamesGenoa1.00Points per game1.00
0.7Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.5
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets10%
50%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  Lazio30′ 2-0 | 6 | +7 | 16 |
| 2▼ |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3▼ |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce28′ 0-1 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 13▲ |  Bologna28′ 1-0 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 14▼ |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15▼ |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16▼ | Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 17▼ |  Monza30′ 0-2 | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 18▼ |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Parma
3
Draws
3
Genoa
- 20 Sept 26Parma 2-1 Genoa
- 18 Jan 26Parma 0-0 Genoa
- 19 Oct 25Genoa 0-0 Parma
- 12 Jan 25Genoa 1-0 Parma
- 4 Nov 24Parma 0-1 Genoa