Paraguay vs Colombia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL
Paraguay
0-1
Colombia
Model's readAsunción
1 40%X 32%2 28%
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
65.4%
xG
1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5
35%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
ParaguayWWLDD
ColombiaWLDDWMatch analysis
Model generatedParaguay favoured at 40%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.15 goals for Paraguay and 0.93 for Colombia, giving 40% for the home win, 32% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 3098 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.15 - 0.93
- Clean sheet chance: Paraguay 39%, Colombia 32%
Match result
1X2Paraguay39.7%
Draw32.0%
Colombia28.3%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
Paraguay
Above average
6.1
Colombia
Above average
ParaguayLast 10 gamesColombia1.70Points per game2.10
1.2Goals scored per game1.2
0.8Goals conceded per game0.3
30%Over 2.5 goals10%
30%Both teams scored20%
60%Clean sheets70%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Paraguay
3
Draws
5
Colombia
- 3 Oct 26Colombia 0-1 Paraguay
- 25 Mar 25Colombia 2-2 Paraguay
- 24 Jun 24Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
- 21 Nov 23Paraguay 0-1 Colombia
- 19 Nov 22Colombia 2-0 Paraguay